Extreme weather cycles? Get used to it, say scientists
"SUPER El Niños" like the extreme weather event of 1997-98 will double in frequency as climate change continues, Australian researchers say.
Scientists from science agency CSIRO and the Australian Bureau of Meteorology used statistical modelling to uncover how global warming influences the super El Niño.
The team collected weather data to model warming scenarios and predict effects on El Niño cycles originating out of the tropical Pacific. The UNSW Climate Change Research Centre's Dr Agus Santoso told the ABC: "Using these models we confirmed, even under modest global warming scenarios, these unusual El Niño events doubled in frequency.
"Our results show that a warmer climate will increase the probability for the occurrences of super El Niños, and lead to a higher probability for associated extreme weather."