SUPERCAT: Patrick Dangerfield bursts clear in a match for Geelong.
SUPERCAT: Patrick Dangerfield bursts clear in a match for Geelong. Darrian Traynor

Dangerfield set to run away with Brownlow

HE missed out on a premiership medal on his first season at Geelong.

So Patrick Dangerfield will have to make to do with claiming the AFL's highest individual honour.

Barring the biggest upset in Brownlow history, the Cat will tonight win his first Brownlow Medal - three days after his side was bundled out of the flag race by Sydney.

The midfielder, who already has the Players' MVP award in his keeping, among numerous other gongs, is the shortest-priced favourite in history, yesterday as short as $1.16 with betting agencies to poll the most votes from the umpires.

Fremantle's Nat Fyfe went into last year's count at $1.70 after being as short as $1.40 earlier in the season, while Hawthorn great Shane Crawford was $1.50 when he won 'Charlie' in 1999.

PATRICK DANGERFIELD ($1.16)

A proven vote-getter having collected 23, 22, 21 and 22 in the past four seasons when a Crow. Will nudge 30 this year as a Cat. His disposal average jumping from 28.8 to 31.4, had 14 games of 30-plus touches - after a combined 11 between 2013-15 - and eight games of at least 26 touches and two goals. Was the clear No.1 player for forward-50m entries, averaging eight a game - three more than the next best (Toby Greene).

DUSTIN MARTIN ($15)

The biggest threat to Dangerfield, the Tiger rebounded from a controversial summer involving a certain chopstick. Took his game to a new level - averaging 31 possessions, up from 25. Didn't make such an impact on the scoreboard - just nine goals after kicking 24 last season - but enjoyed 14 games of 30-plus disposals, six of them in wins. Collected 38 or more five times.

LUKE PARKER ($18)

The Swan hasn't been a great vote winner with a best of 12 in 2014, and just nine in 2015. But this could be the year he outshines teammates Josh Kennedy and Dan Hannebery. Averaged a career-high 27 disposals after collecting at least 30 in eight games. There was also five games of at least 24 touches and two goals.

MARCUS BONTEMPELLI ($21)

The 20-year-old Bulldog will surely win a Brownlow one year, but probably not yet. When he does poll he polls big - three-voters. Not a huge disposal winner, but the 192cm midfielder is eye-catching with his ability to win the clearance and hit the scoreboard. Had five games of at least 25 touches and two majors.

JOEL SELWOOD ($26)

Always polls well, but probably not quite well enough. Scored 19 votes in just his second season in 2008, before a massive 27 in 2013 when runner-up to Gary Ablett. Had another consistent year, but not as dynamic as 2013 and 2014 when he also got forward to kicked 24 and 30 goals. Only eight this season. May get sick of seeing '2' beside his name.

DAN HANNEBERY ($26)

LIKE Bontempelli, seems destined win a Brownlow as an umpire favourite. He polled 24 votes last year when fifth and 21 in 2013. Always battling with Josh Kennedy for the 'threes', but will get plenty this season among his 17 games of at least 30 or more disposals - the most of any player in 2016.



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